â— China is a country with a shortage of wood resources. The use of imported waste paper can not only replace wood pulp, save resources, but also protect the environment. Therefore, China's paper industry imports waste paper has developed rapidly. In papermaking raw material structure, the proportion of waste paper has been Accounted for 44%, higher than the world average (34%), do you think that 44% of China's waste paper raw material proportion is reasonable?
Lin Yiting (Advisor of Fujian Nan Paper Co., Ltd.): Under normal circumstances, 44% of waste paper ratio is not too high, Western Europe's papermaking major countries use more waste paper, such as France, 57.5%, Germany, 64.4%, while the United Kingdom is much higher. 74.3%, the United States is also about 41%. However, Western Europe and other countries use wood pulp instead of waste paper. Therefore, the use of some waste paper has little impact on the production of the entire paper industry, especially the quality of products, and it is mostly based on the use of waste paper in the region. The recycling cycle is short. Due to the short transportation distance and the low factory price, there is a greater advantage. However, the proportion of wood pulp in the papermaking industry in China is too low. The self-produced wood pulp and imported wood pulp account for only 23% of the papermaking fiber raw materials, and 33% are non-wood fiber. The quality of the original paper is poor, and the quality of recycled waste paper is even higher. Worse, about half of the waste paper used in China is imported, and most of it is imported from the United States. Only ocean shipping is required—about a month or so. In order not to interrupt the supply of waste paper, the paper mills must have a certain inventory. Therefore, the waste paper that is put into the production line sometimes has a turnaround time of four or five months or even longer, and the quality is hard to compare with fresh waste paper. So I think that in China, where the proportion of non-wood fiber is so high and the dependence on foreign waste paper is so great, the proportion of waste paper is 44%.
Guo Xingfu (Vice President of Huatai Group): I think this proportion is still relatively reasonable. The increase in the proportion of paper waste reflects the progress of our company's development.
First of all, China’s forest resources are fewer than those in Canada, the United States, Finland, Russia, and other countries. By importing low-cost waste paper, we can increase the wood fiber content of our country’s paper products and achieve the goal of improving product quality. This is the most convenient and effective way. The most affordable way. Moreover, from the perspective of resource conservation, we should also increase the proportion of waste paper. Second, the national policy has restricted the increase of new papermaking projects. However, after the original paper-making enterprises reformed their equipment, they grew from small to strong, the paper machine from the rotary screen to the long wire, the equipment from domestic to imported, and the raw materials from grass. Pulp to wood pulp, waste paper pulp, technical strength has also been continuously enhanced, can make full use of secondary fibers or even tertiary fibers, to improve product quality and competitiveness, reduce waste and pollution purposes. Huatai is a good example of the development of China's paper industry. In addition, compared with the developed countries in the world, the proportion of 44% is not too much. I have read reports that for the future development, the United States proposes that the utilization rate of waste paper should reach half of the paper production. Among them, newsprint reaches 70%-80%, printing paper reaches 40%-50%, and toilet paper must use waste paper as raw material. . Since the beginning of the 1990s, the United States has not only used large amounts of waste paper in its own country, but also exported surplus paper to other parts of the world. Japan is also an underprivileged country, but Japan’s paper production is now second only to the United States and China, and waste paper utilization has reached more than 58% of paper production. Germany, the Netherlands, and South Korea also attach great importance to the use of waste paper. The annual utilization rate is about 50% of paper production.
With the economic growth and improvement of people's living standards, it will stimulate the rapid development of the paper industry, so I think the proportion of waste paper raw materials in China will increase in recent years, and it is expected to reach 46%-50% by 2010.
Xue Wenming (Director, International Trade Division, Sun Paper): At present, many domestic paper companies are using imported waste paper as the main raw material. This is like everyone is crammed into a fast “highway†and everyone takes the “highway. The purpose of the project is to save time, accelerate the development of the enterprise, and see the benefits as soon as possible (using imported waste paper can save investment more than imported wood pulp, and relatively speaking, the project investment return period is short), on the other hand, "highway" Although it is fast, it is not easy to turn around, problems are difficult to adjust, and, in addition, its carrying capacity is also limited. In other words, the domestic papermaking industry is very passive on the issue of imported waste paper supply. If there is any change in the international waste paper supply, it will directly affect the production of domestic enterprises using waste paper as the main raw material. It is very difficult to replace raw materials in time. So these companies have no complete initiative in terms of production operations and cost control.
If you do not change this situation as soon as possible, it will most likely lead to the abnormal development of China's paper industry.
Sun Yuming (Assistant Manager of Shouguang Chenming Paper Co., Ltd. and Supply Company Manager): From the perspective of environmental protection and energy conservation, imported waste paper is beneficial to the development of the paper industry. However, from the point of view of procurement safety, the proportion of 44% is high, and it will be restricted by the international market in the future. If a large amount of waste paper processing equipment is launched, once the international market changes, companies will be in a passive state.
â— China's imported waste paper is concentrated in a few countries and regions such as the United States, Hong Kong, Japan, and the United States, and from the global waste paper recovery rate has reached 46%, how do you estimate the capacity of imported waste paper, Chinese companies rely too much on imported waste paper, Will it cause a crisis?
Guo Xinghao: I think the imported waste paper capacity will continue to expand in the next few years. At present, the waste paper recovery rate in the United States is more than 50%, Europe is more than 55%, Japan is more than 56%, and Finland has the highest recycling rate, which currently reaches 74%. In some countries, although there is a lack of fiber resources, large quantities of commercial pulp and paper are imported each year. However, due to large consumption and high waste paper recycling rate, there are a large number of waste paper exports each year. The most typical is Germany. In 2000, the net import commodity pulp was 3.873 million. Tons, net imports of paper and paperboard were 930 thousand tons, but net exports of waste paper reached 2.578 million tons. Britain's net exports of waste paper in 2000 were also 427YW. With the attention and standardization of waste paper recycling in various countries, the amount of waste paper recovered will also increase. In addition, the path of imported waste paper will become wider and wider. Now it is mainly imported from the United States, Japan, and Hong Kong. It can also be imported from the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Finland, Austria, etc. In a word, waste paper will not disappear. The problem of high and low prices, but the price is still high but a "waste", isn't it?
Sun Yuming: Waste paper recycling depends on the growth of the global economy, especially the United States and other developed countries. In recent years, the growth rate of these countries will not be too high, about 3%, so that the increase in paper consumption will not be higher than 3%, while the economic growth rate in China is about 8%, so the growth rate of paper consumption is generally If it is higher than 8%, the growth rate of Chinese industry will be about 13%, and the corresponding industrial product packaging will also increase. The output of packaging paper using waste paper as raw material will increase significantly. Due to the poor quality of domestic waste paper and the low recovery rate, a large amount of waste paper still needs to rely on imports, further leading to tight supply and demand, and the possibility of triggering a crisis. (To be continued)
Lin Yiting (Advisor of Fujian Nan Paper Co., Ltd.): Under normal circumstances, 44% of waste paper ratio is not too high, Western Europe's papermaking major countries use more waste paper, such as France, 57.5%, Germany, 64.4%, while the United Kingdom is much higher. 74.3%, the United States is also about 41%. However, Western Europe and other countries use wood pulp instead of waste paper. Therefore, the use of some waste paper has little impact on the production of the entire paper industry, especially the quality of products, and it is mostly based on the use of waste paper in the region. The recycling cycle is short. Due to the short transportation distance and the low factory price, there is a greater advantage. However, the proportion of wood pulp in the papermaking industry in China is too low. The self-produced wood pulp and imported wood pulp account for only 23% of the papermaking fiber raw materials, and 33% are non-wood fiber. The quality of the original paper is poor, and the quality of recycled waste paper is even higher. Worse, about half of the waste paper used in China is imported, and most of it is imported from the United States. Only ocean shipping is required—about a month or so. In order not to interrupt the supply of waste paper, the paper mills must have a certain inventory. Therefore, the waste paper that is put into the production line sometimes has a turnaround time of four or five months or even longer, and the quality is hard to compare with fresh waste paper. So I think that in China, where the proportion of non-wood fiber is so high and the dependence on foreign waste paper is so great, the proportion of waste paper is 44%.
Guo Xingfu (Vice President of Huatai Group): I think this proportion is still relatively reasonable. The increase in the proportion of paper waste reflects the progress of our company's development.
First of all, China’s forest resources are fewer than those in Canada, the United States, Finland, Russia, and other countries. By importing low-cost waste paper, we can increase the wood fiber content of our country’s paper products and achieve the goal of improving product quality. This is the most convenient and effective way. The most affordable way. Moreover, from the perspective of resource conservation, we should also increase the proportion of waste paper. Second, the national policy has restricted the increase of new papermaking projects. However, after the original paper-making enterprises reformed their equipment, they grew from small to strong, the paper machine from the rotary screen to the long wire, the equipment from domestic to imported, and the raw materials from grass. Pulp to wood pulp, waste paper pulp, technical strength has also been continuously enhanced, can make full use of secondary fibers or even tertiary fibers, to improve product quality and competitiveness, reduce waste and pollution purposes. Huatai is a good example of the development of China's paper industry. In addition, compared with the developed countries in the world, the proportion of 44% is not too much. I have read reports that for the future development, the United States proposes that the utilization rate of waste paper should reach half of the paper production. Among them, newsprint reaches 70%-80%, printing paper reaches 40%-50%, and toilet paper must use waste paper as raw material. . Since the beginning of the 1990s, the United States has not only used large amounts of waste paper in its own country, but also exported surplus paper to other parts of the world. Japan is also an underprivileged country, but Japan’s paper production is now second only to the United States and China, and waste paper utilization has reached more than 58% of paper production. Germany, the Netherlands, and South Korea also attach great importance to the use of waste paper. The annual utilization rate is about 50% of paper production.
With the economic growth and improvement of people's living standards, it will stimulate the rapid development of the paper industry, so I think the proportion of waste paper raw materials in China will increase in recent years, and it is expected to reach 46%-50% by 2010.
Xue Wenming (Director, International Trade Division, Sun Paper): At present, many domestic paper companies are using imported waste paper as the main raw material. This is like everyone is crammed into a fast “highway†and everyone takes the “highway. The purpose of the project is to save time, accelerate the development of the enterprise, and see the benefits as soon as possible (using imported waste paper can save investment more than imported wood pulp, and relatively speaking, the project investment return period is short), on the other hand, "highway" Although it is fast, it is not easy to turn around, problems are difficult to adjust, and, in addition, its carrying capacity is also limited. In other words, the domestic papermaking industry is very passive on the issue of imported waste paper supply. If there is any change in the international waste paper supply, it will directly affect the production of domestic enterprises using waste paper as the main raw material. It is very difficult to replace raw materials in time. So these companies have no complete initiative in terms of production operations and cost control.
If you do not change this situation as soon as possible, it will most likely lead to the abnormal development of China's paper industry.
Sun Yuming (Assistant Manager of Shouguang Chenming Paper Co., Ltd. and Supply Company Manager): From the perspective of environmental protection and energy conservation, imported waste paper is beneficial to the development of the paper industry. However, from the point of view of procurement safety, the proportion of 44% is high, and it will be restricted by the international market in the future. If a large amount of waste paper processing equipment is launched, once the international market changes, companies will be in a passive state.
â— China's imported waste paper is concentrated in a few countries and regions such as the United States, Hong Kong, Japan, and the United States, and from the global waste paper recovery rate has reached 46%, how do you estimate the capacity of imported waste paper, Chinese companies rely too much on imported waste paper, Will it cause a crisis?
Guo Xinghao: I think the imported waste paper capacity will continue to expand in the next few years. At present, the waste paper recovery rate in the United States is more than 50%, Europe is more than 55%, Japan is more than 56%, and Finland has the highest recycling rate, which currently reaches 74%. In some countries, although there is a lack of fiber resources, large quantities of commercial pulp and paper are imported each year. However, due to large consumption and high waste paper recycling rate, there are a large number of waste paper exports each year. The most typical is Germany. In 2000, the net import commodity pulp was 3.873 million. Tons, net imports of paper and paperboard were 930 thousand tons, but net exports of waste paper reached 2.578 million tons. Britain's net exports of waste paper in 2000 were also 427YW. With the attention and standardization of waste paper recycling in various countries, the amount of waste paper recovered will also increase. In addition, the path of imported waste paper will become wider and wider. Now it is mainly imported from the United States, Japan, and Hong Kong. It can also be imported from the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Finland, Austria, etc. In a word, waste paper will not disappear. The problem of high and low prices, but the price is still high but a "waste", isn't it?
Sun Yuming: Waste paper recycling depends on the growth of the global economy, especially the United States and other developed countries. In recent years, the growth rate of these countries will not be too high, about 3%, so that the increase in paper consumption will not be higher than 3%, while the economic growth rate in China is about 8%, so the growth rate of paper consumption is generally If it is higher than 8%, the growth rate of Chinese industry will be about 13%, and the corresponding industrial product packaging will also increase. The output of packaging paper using waste paper as raw material will increase significantly. Due to the poor quality of domestic waste paper and the low recovery rate, a large amount of waste paper still needs to rely on imports, further leading to tight supply and demand, and the possibility of triggering a crisis. (To be continued)
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